Briton Ferry vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
12º
9º
19
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FLI
2 - 1
BRI
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 1
TNS
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 1
BRI
25%
20%
55%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
CAE
26%
24%
51%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
4 - 0
ABE
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 3
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
NEW
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 0
NEW
4%
10%
86%
|
66 | 12 | 54 | +1 |