Briton Ferry vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
12º
9º
14
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
BRI
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NIN
0 - 3
BRI
5%
10%
86%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
HAV
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 1
BRI
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
BAL
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 4
TNS
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
ABE
71%
17%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 1
AAF
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 4
ABE
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
21%
25%
55%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |