League One Round 42

Bristol Rovers vs Southampton analysis

Bristol Rovers Southampton
61 ELO 75
7.6% Tilt -2.2%
3530º General ELO ranking 324º
92º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
26%
Bristol Rovers
25.3%
Draw
48.8%
Southampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
Bristol Rovers
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.8%
Win probability
Southampton
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bristol Rovers
-23%
-2%
Southampton

ELO progression

Bristol Rovers
Southampton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2010
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
33%
28%
39%
63 56 7 0
05 Apr. 2010
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
43%
25%
32%
62 64 2 +1
02 Apr. 2010
CUM
Carlisle United
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
50%
25%
25%
63 61 2 -1
27 Mar. 2010
BRO
Bristol Rovers
4 - 3
Southend United
SOU
59%
22%
18%
62 57 5 +1
20 Mar. 2010
YEO
Yeovil Town
0 - 3
Bristol Rovers
BRO
39%
27%
34%
61 58 3 +1

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2010
SOU
Southampton
1 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CHA
60%
23%
17%
74 68 6 0
05 Apr. 2010
SOU
Southampton
2 - 1
Leyton Orient
LEY
76%
16%
8%
74 57 17 0
01 Apr. 2010
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 2
Southampton
SOU
29%
26%
45%
74 63 11 0
28 Mar. 2010
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 4
Southampton
SOU
31%
24%
44%
73 63 10 +1
23 Mar. 2010
SOU
Southampton
3 - 2
Hartlepool United
HAR
74%
17%
9%
72 57 15 +1