League One Round 6

Bristol Rovers vs Millwall analysis

Bristol Rovers Millwall
66 ELO 65
2.4% Tilt -7.7%
3532º General ELO ranking 858º
93º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
47.8%
Bristol Rovers
25.7%
Draw
26.5%
Millwall

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
Bristol Rovers
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
Millwall
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bristol Rovers
-9%
+1%
Millwall

ELO progression

Bristol Rovers
Millwall
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2009
HER
Hereford United
0 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
25%
26%
49%
65 53 12 0
29 Aug. 2009
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
33%
28%
38%
66 60 6 -1
26 Aug. 2009
CAR
Cardiff City
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
64%
22%
14%
66 78 12 0
22 Aug. 2009
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Huddersfield Town
HUR
47%
25%
28%
66 66 0 0
18 Aug. 2009
HAR
Hartlepool United
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers
BRO
45%
26%
30%
65 60 5 +1

Matches

Millwall
Millwall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2009
BAR
Barnet
2 - 0
Millwall
MIL
34%
26%
40%
67 58 9 0
28 Aug. 2009
MIL
Millwall
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
63%
23%
14%
67 57 10 0
25 Aug. 2009
WHU
West Ham
3 - 1
Millwall
MIL
76%
16%
8%
67 85 18 0
21 Aug. 2009
SOU
Southend United
0 - 0
Millwall
MIL
44%
27%
29%
67 66 1 0
18 Aug. 2009
MIL
Millwall
2 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
52%
26%
23%
67 61 6 0