Bristol City vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 0
WAL
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRI
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 2
ROT
40%
26%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 2
BRI
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PNE
1 - 0
BRI
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
COL
4 - 0
STE
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
STE
0 - 0
SHE
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
STE
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 1
STE
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
STE
4 - 0
STO
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |