Championship Round 5

Bristol City vs Middlesbrough analysis

Bristol City Middlesbrough
71 ELO 83
-7.2% Tilt -6.6%
750º General ELO ranking 618º
29º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
27.1%
Bristol City
27.9%
Draw
45%
Middlesbrough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
Bristol City
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bristol City
-4%
-4%
Middlesbrough

ELO progression

Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bristol City
Bristol City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2009
BRI
Bristol City
0 - 2
Carlisle United
CUM
62%
22%
16%
72 60 12 0
23 Aug. 2009
CAR
Cardiff City
3 - 0
Bristol City
BRI
54%
25%
21%
72 77 5 0
18 Aug. 2009
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 0
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
49%
27%
24%
72 70 2 0
15 Aug. 2009
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
48%
27%
25%
71 70 1 +1
11 Aug. 2009
BRE
Brentford
0 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
36%
26%
38%
72 64 8 -1

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2009
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
30%
27%
43%
83 68 15 0
22 Aug. 2009
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Doncaster Rovers
DON
70%
20%
11%
83 70 13 0
18 Aug. 2009
SCU
Scunthorpe United
0 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
30%
27%
43%
83 68 15 0
15 Aug. 2009
SWA
Swansea City
0 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
38%
28%
35%
83 75 8 0
07 Aug. 2009
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
62%
22%
16%
83 78 5 0