Bristol City vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 0
BRO
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
KIL
0 - 1
BRI
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
BRI
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
GIL
2 - 0
MOR
55%
23%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
GIL
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 1
SWI
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
OXF
0 - 0
GIL
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |