Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 1
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
BRI
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 0
BRI
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 1
MFC
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 2
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 1
SYD
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 0
BRI
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |