Brightlingsea Regent vs Enfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
11º
8º
22
1º
19º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brightlingsea Regent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
5 - 0
STA
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BOW
0 - 1
BRI
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
BRI
53%
22%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
6 - 1
BRI
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 2
COR
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Enfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
ENF
37%
23%
40%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ENF
3 - 0
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ENF
2 - 0
CTF
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ENF
4 - 1
WEN
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
ENF
0 - 1
RED
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |