Brežice vs ND Dravinja Kostroj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
11º
8º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
98% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 93% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brežice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
DRA
3 - 0
BRE
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
BRE
8 - 3
DRA
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 3
SMA
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VID
2 - 4
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 5
CEL
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
TOL
5 - 0
DOB
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 0
TOL
22%
23%
54%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
LJU
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZAV
1 - 2
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
6 - 1
POD
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |