Breukelen vs De Merino.s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breukelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ROD
2 - 3
BRE
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 2
VVZ
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WOU
2 - 2
BRE
9%
13%
77%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 0
SLI
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
JSV
2 - 3
BRE
26%
20%
54%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
De Merino.s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SVG
3 - 1
DEM
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DEM
3 - 1
ZUI
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SLI
2 - 0
DEM
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
WNC
4 - 2
DEM
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DEM
1 - 1
WOU
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |