Brestnik vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 2
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAN
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ROD
0 - 3
BRE
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
SVA
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 2
BRE
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 0
NES
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NES
2 - 0
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PAN
1 - 4
NES
26%
28%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NES
3 - 0
ROD
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
SVA
0 - 0
NES
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |