Stade Brestois II vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
14º
12º
27
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DOL
0 - 0
BRE
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
LAT
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LAN
4 - 0
BRE
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 3
VIT
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PON
1 - 1
BRE
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 0
VAN
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
PLA
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 2
SBR
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LOC
1 - 2
PLA
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
USF
4 - 3
PLA
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |