Brentford vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
BRE
2 - 2
PLY
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1999 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
PNE
2 - 1
BRE
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 2
GIL
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
BRE
2 - 0
OXF
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
REA
4 - 2
YEO
63%
20%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
OLD
1 - 2
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1999 |
REA
2 - 0
BCF
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
REA
0 - 2
WIG
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
STO
2 - 1
REA
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |