Championship round 40

Brentford vs Leeds United analysis

Brentford Leeds United
68 ELO 70
11.7% Tilt 18.4%
49º General ELO ranking 133º
11º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
42.9%
Brentford
25.9%
Draw
31.2%
Leeds United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
Brentford
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.2%
Win probability
Leeds United
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brentford
+1%
+2%
Leeds United

ELO progression

Brentford
Leeds United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brentford
Brentford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2017
BRE
Brentford
2 - 0
Bristol City
BRI
54%
24%
23%
66 63 3 0
18 Mar. 2017
BUR
Burton Albion
3 - 5
Brentford
BRE
30%
27%
43%
66 61 5 0
14 Mar. 2017
BRE
Brentford
1 - 2
Wolves
WOL
50%
25%
25%
66 67 1 0
11 Mar. 2017
BRE
Brentford
0 - 1
Huddersfield Town
HUR
44%
26%
31%
67 70 3 -1
07 Mar. 2017
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
Brentford
BRE
41%
25%
34%
67 62 5 0

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2017
REA
Reading
1 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
40%
28%
33%
71 69 2 0
18 Mar. 2017
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
35%
29%
36%
70 75 5 +1
11 Mar. 2017
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 0
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
54%
26%
20%
71 65 6 -1
07 Mar. 2017
FUL
Fulham
1 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
57%
22%
21%
71 72 1 0
03 Mar. 2017
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 3
Leeds United
LEE
33%
27%
39%
70 62 8 +1