Brentford vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEY
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
HUR
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
BRE
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
BHA
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 0
BOU
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 1
PLY
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
POS
6 - 0
CUM
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 0
HAR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BHA
4 - 3
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |