Breitenrain vs Munsingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
MUT
0 - 4
BRE
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 0
BRE
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BRE
5 - 0
FCG
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 3
THU
67%
19%
13%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
DOR
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 1
DOR
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 0
WAN
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
OLD
3 - 1
MUN
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BAD
4 - 1
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MUN
5 - 1
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |