Bree vs Overpelt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LEO
4 - 1
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 2
BRE
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
4 - 1
LUT
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 5
DEK
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
EXV
4 - 0
BRE
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
OVE
0 - 0
WIT
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
OVE
0 - 1
EXV
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
OVE
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
TON
1 - 1
OVE
59%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
HEU
1 - 3
OVE
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |