Bree vs La Calamine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 0
BRE
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 3
LIL
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FAY
1 - 2
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HEU
4 - 0
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 0
MAL
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Calamine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LAC
1 - 2
GEE
19%
23%
58%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FAY
2 - 0
LAC
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LAC
2 - 0
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
PAT
3 - 1
LAC
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LAC
0 - 2
SIN
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |