Brechin City vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
2º
2º
11
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 79 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 78 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 68 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 68 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 63 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 63 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 55 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 45 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 42 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 42 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 40 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 34 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 22 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 17 |
17º
|
35.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 15 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 1
CLA
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
DEV
0 - 0
BRE
8%
16%
76%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
BRE
5 - 0
BUC
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 2
BRE
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ROT
1 - 8
BRE
7%
15%
78%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | +1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
FOR
0 - 3
TUR
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
NAI
4 - 0
FOR
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
FOR
0 - 2
WIC
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2025 |
INV
1 - 4
FOR
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 1
FRA
8%
16%
77%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | +2 |