Brea vs SD Borja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UFC
2 - 1
CFB
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CFB
1 - 3
ZAR
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EJE
1 - 1
CFB
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
CFB
8%
14%
78%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CFB
2 - 1
QUI
74%
16%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SD Borja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SDB
4 - 1
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EPI
0 - 0
SDB
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SDB
1 - 0
CFA
19%
25%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SDB
0 - 3
UFC
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AND
0 - 0
SDB
76%
17%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |