Brea vs Mallén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PED
0 - 1
CFB
7%
15%
78%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CFB
2 - 1
FUE
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 2
CFB
22%
22%
55%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CFB
2 - 0
SAN
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LAA
0 - 1
CFB
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 0
EPI
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
MAL
42%
25%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 2
CDU
40%
25%
36%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAL
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 2
QUI
38%
26%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |