Brea vs UD Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GIN
5 - 1
CFB
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CFB
1 - 1
BIN
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ACF
2 - 0
CFB
63%
19%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CFB
1 - 4
UFC
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
CFB
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 0
VIL
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ATC
4 - 3
FRA
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 0
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TER
3 - 1
FRA
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 3
ATL
12%
23%
66%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |