Tercera División RFEF XVII - Aragon Round 21

Brea vs CD Binéfar analysis

Brea CD Binéfar
32 ELO 40
-23.2% Tilt -22.6%
8747º General ELO ranking 6705º
437º Country ELO ranking 276º
ELO win probability
27.5%
Brea
25.1%
Draw
47.4%
CD Binéfar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
Brea
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.4%
Win probability
CD Binéfar
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brea
+1%
-18%
CD Binéfar

Points and table prediction

Brea
Their league position
CD Binéfar
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
18º
17º
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Ebro
65
65
100%
Huesca B
58
58
100%
Atlético Monzón
57
57
100%
CD Cuarte
57
57
100%
CD Binéfar
56
56
100%
Zuera
49
49
100%
Calamocha
47
47
0%
CF Epila
47
47
0%
CDJ Tamarite
46
46
100%
Caspe
10º
41
41
10º
100%
CD Utrillas
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Andorra CF
12º
40
40
12º
100%
CD Belchite 97
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Almudévar
14º
39
39
14º
100%
CD La Almunia
15º
39
39
15º
100%
UD Fraga
16º
37
37
16º
100%
Brea
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Fuentes
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Brea
CD Binéfar
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Brea
CD Binéfar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brea
Brea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
ZUE
Zuera
4 - 0
Brea
CFB
56%
23%
21%
34 37 3 0
26 Jan. 2025
CFB
Brea
1 - 2
Huesca B
HUE
20%
25%
55%
35 44 9 -1
18 Jan. 2025
FRA
UD Fraga
2 - 3
Brea
CFB
52%
24%
24%
34 34 0 +1
12 Jan. 2025
CAS
Caspe
0 - 2
Brea
CFB
58%
23%
19%
31 37 6 +3
05 Jan. 2025
CFB
Brea
0 - 2
CD Ebro
CDE
18%
26%
57%
33 47 14 -2

Matches

CD Binéfar
CD Binéfar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
BIN
CD Binéfar
1 - 1
Almudévar
CFA
52%
24%
25%
39 37 2 0
26 Jan. 2025
AND
Andorra CF
1 - 1
CD Binéfar
BIN
43%
25%
33%
39 38 1 0
19 Jan. 2025
BIN
CD Binéfar
1 - 2
CD La Almunia
LAA
60%
21%
19%
39 31 8 0
12 Jan. 2025
ZUE
Zuera
1 - 0
CD Binéfar
BIN
36%
25%
40%
40 36 4 -1
05 Jan. 2025
BIN
CD Binéfar
1 - 2
Huesca B
HUE
38%
26%
36%
41 42 1 -1