Brasiliense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
BRA
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 2
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
ICA
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
4 - 0
BRA
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
ICA
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |