Brasiliense vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 3
BRA
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GAM
3 - 1
BRA
38%
25%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
17%
20%
63%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
DOM
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 4
BDF
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
2 - 2
LUZ
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
BDF
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |