Série C Brazil Round 11

Brasil de Pelotas vs Portuguesa analysis

Brasil de Pelotas Portuguesa
61 ELO 60
-15.5% Tilt -16.7%
3294º General ELO ranking 2193º
88º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
37.8%
Brasil de Pelotas
28.5%
Draw
33.8%
Portuguesa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
Brasil de Pelotas
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.8%
Win probability
Portuguesa
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brasil de Pelotas
-21%
+20%
Portuguesa

ELO progression

Brasil de Pelotas
Portuguesa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brasil de Pelotas
Brasil de Pelotas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2015
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 3
Brasil de Pelotas
BRA
51%
27%
22%
60 61 1 0
26 Jul. 2015
BRA
Brasil de Pelotas
0 - 0
Tupi
TUP
44%
29%
27%
60 59 1 0
21 Jul. 2015
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 2
Brasil de Pelotas
BRA
43%
29%
28%
60 57 3 0
12 Jul. 2015
BRA
Brasil de Pelotas
3 - 1
Madureira RJ
MAD
41%
29%
30%
59 59 0 +1
04 Jul. 2015
TOM
Tombense
0 - 0
Brasil de Pelotas
BRA
37%
29%
34%
59 54 5 0

Matches

Portuguesa
Portuguesa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2015
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 1
Londrina
LON
49%
26%
25%
61 60 1 0
28 Jul. 2015
TOM
Tombense
2 - 2
Portuguesa
POR
26%
28%
46%
61 54 7 0
18 Jul. 2015
POR
Portuguesa
3 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
66%
21%
13%
60 52 8 +1
13 Jul. 2015
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
55%
26%
19%
60 58 2 0
04 Jul. 2015
JUV
EC Juventude
3 - 2
Portuguesa
POR
43%
28%
30%
60 59 1 0