Braganca vs Melgacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 3
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
VIA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 1
FAO
78%
14%
7%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
MAR
31%
25%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 1
MEL
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JOA
2 - 1
MEL
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |