NCAA Division I Missouri Valley. Jor. 5

Bradley Braves vs Missouri State analysis

Bradley Braves Missouri State
11 ELO 34
-3.6% Tilt -1.3%
45876º General ELO ranking 44800º
773º Country ELO ranking 659º
ELO win probability
6.5%
Bradley Braves
13.1%
Draw
80.4%
Missouri State

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
Bradley Braves
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
80.4%
Win probability
Missouri State
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bradley Braves
-17%
+19%
Missouri State

ELO progression

Bradley Braves
Missouri State
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bradley Braves
Bradley Braves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2021
LYR
Loyola Ramblers
2 - 0
Bradley Braves
BLB
88%
9%
4%
12 27 15 0
09 Mar. 2021
BLB
Bradley Braves
0 - 2
Drake Bulldogs
DKB
14%
18%
69%
12 22 10 0
04 Mar. 2021
BLB
Bradley Braves
1 - 0
Evansville Aces
EVA
52%
21%
28%
11 11 0 +1
27 Feb. 2021
MSB
Missouri State
3 - 0
Bradley Braves
BLB
89%
8%
3%
12 32 20 -1

Matches

Missouri State
Missouri State
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2021
MSB
Missouri State
2 - 1
Evansville Aces
EVA
90%
8%
3%
34 10 24 0
04 Mar. 2021
DKB
Drake Bulldogs
0 - 1
Missouri State
MSB
23%
20%
57%
33 22 11 +1
27 Feb. 2021
MSB
Missouri State
3 - 0
Bradley Braves
BLB
89%
8%
3%
32 12 20 +1
24 Nov. 2019
UCF
UCF
2 - 1
Missouri State
MSB
32%
22%
46%
33 27 6 -1
21 Nov. 2019
MSB
Missouri State
1 - 0
Denver
DEP
56%
20%
24%
33 26 7 0
X