Denmark Third Division Normal Season Round 7

Brabrand vs Roskilde analysis

Brabrand Roskilde
44 ELO 57
-13.5% Tilt 2.1%
3375º General ELO ranking 2554º
38º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
15.3%
Brabrand
22.3%
Draw
62.4%
Roskilde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
Brabrand
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.4%
Win probability
Roskilde
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brabrand
-16%
+14%
Roskilde

Points and table prediction

Brabrand
Their league position
Roskilde
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
10º
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Esbjerg
59
59
100%
Roskilde
44
44
100%
Aarhus Fremad
41
41
0%
Middelfart
41
41
0%
Nykøbing FC
33
33
100%
Akademisk Boldklub
24
24
100%
Skive
23
23
0%
Fremad Amager
23
23
0%
Hellerup IK
21
21
100%
Brabrand
10º
18
18
10º
100%
FA 2000
11º
17
17
11º
0%
Thisted
12º
17
17
12º
0%
Expected probabilities
Brabrand
Roskilde
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Brabrand
Roskilde
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brabrand
Brabrand
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
MID
Middelfart
1 - 0
Brabrand
BRA
70%
19%
11%
45 58 13 0
02 Sep. 2023
BRA
Brabrand
1 - 2
Hellerup IK
HEL
34%
25%
41%
46 47 1 -1
25 Aug. 2023
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
1 - 1
Brabrand
BRA
75%
16%
9%
45 60 15 +1
19 Aug. 2023
BRA
Brabrand
0 - 1
FA 2000
FA2
28%
25%
47%
46 50 4 -1
12 Aug. 2023
AKA
Akademisk Boldklub
1 - 1
Brabrand
BRA
68%
18%
14%
45 52 7 +1

Matches

Roskilde
Roskilde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2023
ROS
Roskilde
2 - 0
Akademisk Boldklub
AKA
49%
24%
27%
56 53 3 0
01 Sep. 2023
BFR
Fremad Amager
0 - 1
Roskilde
ROS
30%
25%
45%
55 51 4 +1
26 Aug. 2023
ROS
Roskilde
1 - 1
Skive
SKI
69%
19%
12%
55 46 9 0
18 Aug. 2023
LFA
Nykøbing FC
1 - 2
Roskilde
ROS
41%
24%
35%
54 51 3 +1
12 Aug. 2023
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
3 - 1
Roskilde
ROS
53%
23%
24%
55 59 4 -1