Brabrand vs Otterup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brabrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIB
2 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
LIF
54%
24%
21%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
LFA
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
FYN
2 - 2
BRA
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Otterup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
LFA
2 - 1
OTB
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
OTB
0 - 5
FYN
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NAS
3 - 1
OTB
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
OTB
0 - 3
VAR
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
THI
2 - 2
OTB
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |