Boys. Town vs Reno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boys. Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 0
BOY
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
BOY
1 - 0
TRI
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LIO
0 - 1
BOY
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BOY
4 - 2
STG
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
BOY
1 - 1
VIL
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 0
REN
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
REN
2 - 0
LIO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 3
REN
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
REN
0 - 1
POR
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
REN
1 - 1
MEU
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |