Bowers and Pitsea vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ARL
0 - 5
BOW
17%
21%
63%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BIS
2 - 2
BOW
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOW
1 - 2
EAS
64%
18%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
WOR
4 - 1
BOW
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BOW
2 - 3
LEA
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 6
WIN
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
4 - 1
WIN
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 2
COR
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 2
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |