Bowers and Pitsea vs Redbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
57.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
2º
16º
4º
47
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NSA
1 - 1
BOW
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
WOT
4 - 3
BOW
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BOW
2 - 2
WOT
21%
20%
60%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BOW
0 - 1
BRI
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BOW
1 - 1
WEL
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Redbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
STO
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WHI
1 - 1
RED
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
NSA
3 - 1
RED
24%
19%
58%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
RED
2 - 2
NSA
60%
20%
21%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 5
RED
4%
9%
87%
|
42 | 8 | 34 | 0 |