Conference Premier Ishtmian Round 19

Bowers and Pitsea vs Cray Wanderers analysis

Bowers and Pitsea Cray Wanderers
34 ELO 38
-11% Tilt -4.4%
10879º General ELO ranking 6923º
587º Country ELO ranking 251º
ELO win probability
37.6%
Bowers and Pitsea
23.8%
Draw
38.6%
Cray Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
Bowers and Pitsea
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.6%
Win probability
Cray Wanderers
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bowers and Pitsea
+2%
+10%
Cray Wanderers

Points and table prediction

Bowers and Pitsea
Their league position
Cray Wanderers
CURR.POS.
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
16º
22º
22º
61
22º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Horsham
87
87
0%
Billericay Town
87
87
0%
Dartford
84
84
100%
Cray Valley PM
77
80
100%
Dover Athletic
76
76
100%
Chichester City
73
73
100%
Carshalton Athletic
70
70
100%
Hashtag United
64
64
100%
Chatham Town
63
63
100%
Cray Wanderers
10º
61
61
10º
100%
Wingate & Finchley
11º
60
60
11º
100%
Lewes
13º
58
58
12º
100%
Folkestone Invicta
12º
58
58
13º
100%
Potters Bar Town
14º
57
57
14º
100%
Cheshunt
15º
49
49
15º
0%
Whitehawk
16º
49
49
16º
0%
Canvey Island
17º
44
44
17º
100%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
18º
44
44
18º
100%
Hendon
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Hastings United
20º
34
34
20º
100%
Bognor Regis Town
21º
32
32
21º
100%
Bowers and Pitsea
22º
26
26
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bowers and Pitsea
Cray Wanderers
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Bowers and Pitsea
Cray Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bowers and Pitsea
Bowers and Pitsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2024
HOR
Horsham
5 - 0
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
70%
18%
12%
37 48 11 0
26 Nov. 2024
CRA
Cray Valley PM
2 - 0
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
73%
16%
11%
37 48 11 0
23 Nov. 2024
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
0 - 2
Dover Athletic
DOV
28%
25%
47%
38 46 8 -1
16 Nov. 2024
BIL
Billericay Town
2 - 1
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
71%
17%
12%
38 47 9 0
09 Nov. 2024
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
0 - 1
Bognor Regis Town
BOG
49%
22%
29%
39 36 3 -1

Matches

Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2024
CRA
Cray Wanderers
1 - 1
Carshalton Athletic
CAR
37%
25%
39%
38 43 5 0
23 Nov. 2024
CAN
Canvey Island
2 - 0
Cray Wanderers
CRA
54%
21%
25%
38 40 2 0
16 Nov. 2024
POT
Potters Bar Town
0 - 4
Cray Wanderers
CRA
51%
22%
27%
37 38 1 +1
09 Nov. 2024
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
1 - 0
Cray Wanderers
CRA
50%
22%
28%
37 38 1 0
05 Nov. 2024
CRA
Cray Valley PM
2 - 1
Cray Wanderers
CRA
68%
18%
14%
37 45 8 0