Non League Div One Isthmian North Round 16

Bowers and Pitsea vs Aveley analysis

Bowers and Pitsea Aveley
28 ELO 28
-2.8% Tilt 1.7%
10981º General ELO ranking 7733º
592º Country ELO ranking 300º
ELO win probability
50%
Bowers and Pitsea
20.7%
Draw
29.3%
Aveley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
Bowers and Pitsea
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
29.3%
Win probability
Aveley
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bowers and Pitsea
-65%
-43%
Aveley

ELO progression

Bowers and Pitsea
Aveley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bowers and Pitsea
Bowers and Pitsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2016
BRE
Brentwood Town
4 - 2
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
36%
23%
41%
30 26 4 0
15 Oct. 2016
TIL
Tilbury
1 - 1
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
46%
22%
32%
30 30 0 0
11 Oct. 2016
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
0 - 1
Maldon & Tiptree
MAL
43%
23%
35%
31 35 4 -1
08 Oct. 2016
THU
Thurrock
1 - 2
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
54%
21%
25%
31 37 6 0
04 Oct. 2016
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
2 - 2
Soham Town Rangers
SOH
71%
16%
13%
31 22 9 0

Matches

Aveley
Aveley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2016
AVE
Aveley
1 - 1
Phoenix Sports
PHO
54%
21%
25%
27 28 1 0
15 Oct. 2016
AVE
Aveley
1 - 4
Brightlingsea Regent
BRI
41%
24%
35%
29 33 4 -2
11 Oct. 2016
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 0
Aveley
AVE
25%
22%
53%
30 24 6 -1
08 Oct. 2016
WHI
Witham Town
2 - 1
Aveley
AVE
32%
22%
46%
32 27 5 -2
01 Oct. 2016
AVE
Aveley
3 - 1
Brentwood Town
BRE
62%
20%
18%
31 26 5 +1