Non League Div One Isthmian North Round 36

Bowers and Pitsea vs AFC Sudbury analysis

Bowers and Pitsea AFC Sudbury
37 ELO 30
-4.6% Tilt -2.5%
10513º General ELO ranking 8114º
567º Country ELO ranking 338º
ELO win probability
64.2%
Bowers and Pitsea
18.6%
Draw
17.2%
AFC Sudbury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
Bowers and Pitsea
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.3%
Win probability
AFC Sudbury
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bowers and Pitsea
-62%
-11%
AFC Sudbury

ELO progression

Bowers and Pitsea
AFC Sudbury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bowers and Pitsea
Bowers and Pitsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2018
CHE
Cheshunt
2 - 1
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
11%
16%
73%
38 20 18 0
10 Feb. 2018
WAL
Waltham Abbey
0 - 1
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
16%
18%
66%
38 23 15 0
03 Feb. 2018
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
4 - 2
Bury Town
BUR
74%
15%
11%
37 26 11 +1
27 Jan. 2018
POT
Potters Bar Town
1 - 0
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
30%
22%
48%
38 32 6 -1
13 Jan. 2018
BRE
Brentwood Town
1 - 3
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
24%
21%
55%
38 27 11 0

Matches

AFC Sudbury
AFC Sudbury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2018
YEL
AFC Sudbury
1 - 0
AFC Hornchurch
HOR
20%
22%
58%
28 43 15 0
10 Feb. 2018
TIL
Tilbury
0 - 0
AFC Sudbury
YEL
33%
24%
43%
28 23 5 0
03 Feb. 2018
YEL
AFC Sudbury
2 - 0
Waltham Abbey
WAL
58%
21%
21%
28 25 3 0
27 Jan. 2018
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
0 - 1
AFC Sudbury
YEL
70%
17%
13%
27 34 7 +1
23 Jan. 2018
MAL
Maldon & Tiptree
1 - 2
AFC Sudbury
YEL
80%
13%
8%
26 37 11 +1