Bouenguidi vs Lozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bouenguidi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 1
BOU
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CSB
1 - 0
BOU
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
105
0 - 1
BOU
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BOU
0 - 0
ASD
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CER
0 - 0
BOU
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
LOZ
0 - 1
105
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SMA
3 - 0
LOZ
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LOZ
2 - 0
ASD
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CER
0 - 1
LOZ
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LOZ
2 - 0
USB
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |