FC Gilport Lions vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
ORA
3 - 1
BOT
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
UHM
0 - 0
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
EXT
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MIS
1 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SES
2 - 1
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 2
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 3
ORA
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
POL
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BLF
1 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |