Botswana Defence Force XI vs Notwane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 1
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
YOU
14%
22%
64%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ORA
1 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
YOU
2 - 0
BOT
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -3 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
TOW
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +3 |
Matches
Notwane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BRH
0 - 1
NOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 0
TOW
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 2
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 0
EXT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
NOT
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |