Botswana vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.2%
62.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
19.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
TUN
19%
27%
54%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
SWZ
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
EQG
0 - 2
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
TOG
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MWI
1 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 0
GER
25%
24%
50%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
NED
4 - 1
SWE
70%
19%
11%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
6 - 0
SMR
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 39 | 53 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
2 - 0
HUN
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SWE
3 - 0
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |