Botswana vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
MLI
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 6
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
ZIM
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LSO
0 - 0
STP
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
STP
1 - 0
LSO
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BDI
2 - 2
LSO
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |