A PFG Round 11

Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna analysis

Botev Vratsa Cherno More Varna
72 ELO 71
6.6% Tilt 8.2%
2894º General ELO ranking 807º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58%
Botev Vratsa
22.5%
Draw
19.5%
Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
Botev Vratsa
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.5%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botev Vratsa
+24%
-9%
Cherno More Varna

ELO progression

Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 1978
SPA
Spartak Pleven
1 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
45%
25%
31%
72 65 7 0
14 Oct. 1978
BVR
Botev Vratsa
4 - 1
Slavia Sofia
SSO
48%
26%
26%
71 78 7 +1
30 Sep. 1978
CHB
Chernomoretz Burgas
2 - 3
Botev Vratsa
BVR
59%
22%
19%
70 73 3 +1
23 Sep. 1978
BVR
Botev Vratsa
3 - 1
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
49%
25%
26%
70 75 5 0
16 Sep. 1978
SLI
Sliven
2 - 2
Botev Vratsa
BVR
52%
25%
24%
70 71 1 0

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 1978
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 2
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
49%
28%
24%
72 79 7 0
14 Oct. 1978
MAR
Marek
0 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
59%
23%
19%
72 74 2 0
30 Sep. 1978
CVA
Cherno More Varna
4 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
47%
27%
26%
71 75 4 +1
23 Sep. 1978
BER
Beroe
2 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
59%
22%
19%
71 72 1 0
17 Sep. 1978
CVA
Cherno More Varna
3 - 1
Levski Sofia
LSO
41%
27%
31%
70 78 8 +1