A PFG Temporada Regular round 16

Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa analysis

Botev Plovdiv Botev Vratsa
75 ELO 58
-6.6% Tilt -2.4%
1287º General ELO ranking 3338º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
68.2%
Botev Plovdiv
20.4%
Draw
11.4%
Botev Vratsa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
Botev Plovdiv
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.4%
Win probability
Botev Vratsa
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botev Plovdiv
-19%
+22%
Botev Vratsa

Points and table prediction

Botev Plovdiv
Their league position
Botev Vratsa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
21
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets
76
76
100%
Levski Sofia
62
62
100%
Arda Kardzhali
53
53
0%
Cherno More Varna
53
53
0%
Botev Plovdiv
49
49
100%
Spartak Varna
48
48
100%
CSKA Sofia
47
47
100%
Beroe
42
42
0%
Slavia Sofia
42
42
0%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Septemvri Sofia
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Levski Krumovgrad
13º
30
30
12º
100%
Lokomotiv Sofia
12º
30
30
13º
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
14º
28
28
14º
100%
Botev Vratsa
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Hebar Pazardzhik
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Next round
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2024
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
2 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
65%
22%
13%
74 62 12 0
04 Nov. 2024
SEP
Septemvri Sofia
1 - 0
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
23%
26%
51%
75 61 14 -1
31 Oct. 2024
FKM
FK Minyor Pernik
0 - 1
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
10%
17%
74%
75 54 21 0
25 Oct. 2024
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
1 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
41%
29%
30%
75 78 3 0
19 Oct. 2024
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
1 - 0
Slavia Sofia
SSO
54%
25%
21%
75 69 6 0

Matches

Botev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2024
ARK
Arda Kardzhali
2 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
69%
19%
12%
59 73 14 0
01 Nov. 2024
BVR
Botev Vratsa
3 - 2
Slavia Sofia
SSO
26%
27%
48%
59 69 10 0
29 Oct. 2024
SPO
Sportist Svoge
0 - 2
Botev Vratsa
BVR
21%
22%
57%
58 51 7 +1
24 Oct. 2024
CSK
CSKA Sofia
2 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
59%
24%
18%
59 71 12 -1
18 Oct. 2024
BVR
Botev Vratsa
0 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
23%
25%
52%
59 70 11 0