Botev Novi Pazar vs Kaliakra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
65.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DOB
4 - 0
BOT
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
KUB
62%
22%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
HIT
25%
22%
54%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 0
BOT
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
SEP
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 1
DOR
87%
10%
4%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SEP
1 - 3
KAL
13%
19%
69%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 0
LOR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KAL
1 - 2
CHE
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SUV
1 - 1
KAL
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |