Botafogo SP vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 0
BOT
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 1
SER
69%
17%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 4
SAN
17%
24%
60%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 0
BOT
31%
25%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
OES
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MON
5 - 3
MOG
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
5 - 0
MON
94%
5%
2%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MON
0 - 4
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
SER
58%
22%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |