Botafogo SP vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
TOM
3 - 1
BOT
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOT
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
JUV
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
6 - 2
GUA
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 5
BOT
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
JUV
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
MOG
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAC
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |