Paraibano Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Botafogo PB vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
BOT
4 - 0
CAC
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 2
BOT
19%
27%
54%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
BOT
28%
28%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 2
BOT
21%
27%
52%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
3 - 0
ADP
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 2
BOT
19%
27%
54%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 4
TRE
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 0
SOU
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 6
TRE
10%
17%
74%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
POM
1 - 1
TRE
9%
16%
74%
|
58 | 10 | 48 | 0 |