Paraibano Final
Global 1-2
Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 0
BOT
21%
27%
52%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 0
TRE
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
BOT
4 - 0
CAC
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 2
BOT
19%
27%
54%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
BOT
28%
28%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
FER
2 - 0
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 0
BOT
21%
27%
52%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
SOU
2 - 1
FOR
8%
20%
73%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 1
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SER
1 - 1
SOU
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | -1 |