Paraibano Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 2
BOT
15%
24%
61%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
BOT
15%
25%
61%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CSP
0 - 1
BOT
9%
22%
69%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BOT
9%
18%
74%
|
63 | 13 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 1
CSP
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 0
AUT
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 0
SOU
15%
20%
66%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |